Analysis Of The Factors Influencing The Export Of Indonesian Plywood To Japan (1980-2002)

Abstract

Berty Tri Suharyatmo (2005), "Analysis of the factors influencing the export of Indonesian plywood to Japan (1980-2002)". Economics Faculty, Economic Departement, International Program, Islamic University of Indonesia, Yogyakarta. Indonesia's economic development before the economic crisis was remarkably succesful. Indonesia's impressive economic growth is exemplified by the increase in per capita income, from less than US$100 in 1966 to over US$1,000 in 1996. This impressive growth is driven by strong growth of manufacturing and service sectors. After the crisis the export of forestry industry as one of manufacturing sector also have important role to restructure the Indonesian industry. Plywood, textiles, and garments had emerged as the leading manufacturing exports. In this research the writer appeared plywood as the main research because recently the export of plywood has an important role supporting the economic growth. Since 1986 Japan become the main market for Indonesian plywood export. The export of Indonesian plywood to Japan increased year by year. In this research the writer want to know what factors that affect to the demand of Indonesian plywood export to Japan. Factors that include in this research are: price of plywood, JapanGDP and exchange rate between countries. This research will use time series dataat 1980 - 2002 to find the regression result. Based on the research, from the F test we can see that price of plywood, Japan GDP and exchange rate simultaneously affect to the demand of Indonesian plywood export to Japan. And for the R-squared value is 0.858123. It means that the variation of the dependent variable can be explained by the independent variables about 0.858123 or 85.81%, while the rest 0.141877 or 14.18% are explained by factors outside the model.